Apr 17, 2012

MHC Weekly Chart - Short Term Buy (Technical)

MHC – MYR1.90 (Stock Code: 5026)  (Bloomberg Code: MHC MK Equity)

MHC  made  a  major  weekly  Wave  4  low  at  RM1.00  (in  Sep  2011)  with  grossly  oversold  and  bullish  signals. Due to its firmly positive weekly chart signals, the indicators are pointing firmly upwards to a move towards the
resistance  and  upside  target  areas  of  MYR2.11,  MYR2.47  and  MYR2.58  in  the  short  term. 

We  advocate  a SHORT-TERM BUY (TECHNICAL) on MHC on dips, with stop-loss at MYR1.66.

MHC technical analysis

MHC’s principal operations  include  the  cultivation  of  palm  oil  and  the  management  of  Teluk  Anson  hotel. Based on their 4Q2011 results, the group’s profit before tax (PBT) increased by 28.38% from MYR 24.63m to MYR31.62m. In addition to that, the group’s EPS has advanced by  28.4%  from  17.54sen  per  share  to 22.52sen  per  share.  The  increase  in  prices  of  Fresh  Fruit  Bunches  (FFB)  and  yield  by  23%  and  2% respectively mainly contributed to the advancement in its PBT. Furthermore, there was recognition of negative goodwill of MYR1.27m which arose from the acquisition of additional shares in an associate during the current quarter, as well as increased contributions from the associated companies. 

The profitability for the last quarter is  lower than  the  immediate preceding quarter  mainly due to decrease  in FFB  production  and  price  by  10%  and  4%  respectively. Moving forward, MHC’s board  is  confident  that  the
group’s prospects would remain satisfactory in view of favourable palm oil prices and strong demand of palm oil, barring any unforeseen circumstances. Further to the upward trend of CPO prices, MHC also declared  a bonus issue on the 21 March 2012. However, it has yet to confirm the ex-date of the bonus issue. 

Maybank  IB  does  not  have  fundamental  coverage  on  MHC.  A  check  on  Bloomberg  reveals  that  no  other research house has initiated coverage on the counter at this point in time. The stock is trading at PER  of 8.4x
and has an indicated dividend yield of 1.06%.

Recommendation
MHC  made  a  major  weekly  Wave  4  low  at  RM1.00  (in  Sep  2011)  with  grossly  oversold  and  bullish signals. Due to its firmly positive weekly chart signals, the indicators are pointing firmly upwards to a move  towards  the  resistance  and  upside  target  areas  of  MYR2.11,  MYR2.47  and  MYR2.58  in  the short  term.

We  advocate  a  SHORT-TERM  BUY  (TECHNICAL)  on  MHC  on  dips,  with  stop-loss  at MYR1.66.

HC Plantations Berhad (MHC) is an investment holding company whose subsidiary cultivates oil palm and rubber, sells fresh fruit bunches, and operates a mill. It also operates a hotel and develops properties.

by Maybank Investment Bank